L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sport Recife v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sport Recife (Local)
Prévision 44.13%2.27cote équitable
EV -6.44%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -5.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.10%44.04%44.14%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.092.1250.00%48.06%47.85%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.14%26.86%26.91%28.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.07%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.95%3.45cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.00%29.10%28.95%31.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.91%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.53%EV -3.90%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.76%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.70%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 23:49 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -17.50%E -6.14%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.32%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.09%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 23:48 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 12:33 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -18.94%E -6.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-20 00:16 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.10% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.70% | 13.9% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |