The School of Odds

Sport Recife v Cuiabá

2026-07-27 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -7.88%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -8.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.00%47.00%47.00%47.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.921.951.9654%52%51%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cuiabá (Visit)

Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.71%23.26%23.26%23.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.803.984.104.1026%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.74%3.36fair odd
EV -6.32%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.54%29.74%29.74%29.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.153.1534%33%32%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -7.88%E -4.02%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 01:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:35
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:35
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 01:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 01:40
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 47.15%EV -11.17%E -5.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -10.45%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-21 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.28%EV -11.64%E -6.19%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09%EV -10.45%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 01:35
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -11.64%E -6.19%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.62%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-21 01:35
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -12.58%E -6.76%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.62%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 01:35
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -12.58%E -6.76%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.62%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.