Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sport Recife v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 22:30 UTC

Score final : Sport Recife 1–1 Cuiabá

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sport Recife (Local)

Prévision 43.11%2.32cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.13%43.33%43.04%46.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.092.102.2552.63%47.86%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV +5.22%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%24.92%25.06%25.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.43%27.03%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.83%3.14cote équitable
EV -4.50%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.86%31.75%31.90%32.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.892.883.0035.71%34.62%34.72%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sport Recife (Local) : 43.11% ; Cuiabá (Visiteur) : 25.05% ; Match nul : 31.83%. Pour Cuiabá (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.99. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +5.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:15
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.32%EV +0.463%E +0.115%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.14%EV -7.37%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.17%EV -15.50%E -7.91%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +0.212%E +0.053%K +0.071%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.21%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 22:14
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17%EV -16.79%E -8.70%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -1.04%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-27 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17%EV -16.79%E -8.70%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -1.04%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-27 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.30%EV -17.22%E -8.97%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -1.04%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-27 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -18.08%E -9.52%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.588%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-27 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -18.08%E -9.52%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.588%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-27 22:15
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.98%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -2.79%E -0.720%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.55%E -0.921%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.55%E -0.921%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 22:05
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:05
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:10
Bovada🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -6.87%E -3.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 22:23
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 22:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 22:09
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 22:10
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -8.60%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 22:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 22:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 21:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-27 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 22:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:25
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:03
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:05
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-27 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-27 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-27 21:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-27 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%0.1%2026-07-27 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-07-27 22:20