Idioma:Español
Sport Recife v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 43.11%2.32momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%43.33%43.04%46.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.092.102.2552.63%47.86%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV +5.22%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.085%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%24.92%25.06%25.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.43%27.03%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.83%3.14momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.86%31.75%31.90%32.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.892.883.0035.71%34.62%34.72%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sport Recife (Local): 43.11%; Cuiabá (Visitante): 25.05%; Empate: 31.83%. Para Cuiabá (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.22%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.22%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.085% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.32%EV +0.463%E +0.115%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.14%EV -7.37%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.17%EV -15.50%E -7.91%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +0.212%E +0.053%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.21%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-27 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17%EV -16.79%E -8.70%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -1.04%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17%EV -16.79%E -8.70%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -1.04%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.30%EV -17.22%E -8.97%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -1.04%E -0.263%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -18.08%E -9.52%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.588%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -18.08%E -9.52%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.588%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.98%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -2.79%E -0.720%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.55%E -0.921%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.55%E -0.921%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -6.87%E -3.18%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 22:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.30%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.28%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -8.60%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.56%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-27 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.77%E -6.89%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.81%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76% | 0.1% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |