La escuela de los momios

Sport Recife v Cuiabá

2026-07-27 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Predicción 48.66%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.33%48.58%48.77%49.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.901.902.0054.64%52.53%52.49%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cuiabá (Visitante)

Predicción 22.24%4.50momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -0.751%
Kelly -0.975%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.20%22.28%22.19%23.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.044.004.3527.40%24.75%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.11%3.44momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.14%29.04%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.133.133.3233.90%31.92%32.00%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:39
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 46.46%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -15.50%E -4.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 19:40
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 01:15
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.34%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -16.61%E -4.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 19:40
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 49.31%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.17%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 16:05
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.47%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -16.61%E -4.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 22:34
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 16:05
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.30%EV -7.44%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 07:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 10:50
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 46.45%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -17.72%E -4.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 19:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 07:34
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.04%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -5.49%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.44%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:50
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -18.83%E -5.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -18.83%E -5.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -14.14%E -4.79%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 19:40
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -3.27%E -0.751%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 16:00
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -3.27%E -0.751%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:55
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -3.27%E -0.751%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 16:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.01%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -7.72%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:53
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.01%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -7.72%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 22:34
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 10:55
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 07:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 16:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 22:43
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 16:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -8.83%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 17:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.27%E -3.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:25
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 15:53
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -6.60%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 15:54
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.05%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 07:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%5.1%2026-07-26 00:28
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%10.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%10.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%12.0%2026-07-26 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 62.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 16.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 20.12%52.9%2026-07-26 03:15