A Escola das Odds

Sport Recife v Botafogo

Início: 2026-07-10 23:02 UTC

Final: Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Previsão 46.82%2.14odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.75%46.82%46.84%50.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.941.952.0557.14%51.67%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Visitante)

Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV +2.71%
Vantagem +0.620%
Kelly +0.803%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.37%23.42%23.45%25.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.73%3.36odd justa
EV -0.402%
Vantagem -0.120%
Kelly -0.171%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.80%29.76%29.71%30.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.123.103.3533.33%32.02%32.26%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -9.17%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.37%EV +2.71%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -8.43%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -14.32%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-10 23:00
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.12%EV -2.45%E -0.588%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 22:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 22:58
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%EV -16.19%E -9.05%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 23:00
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -7.24%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 22:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 22:59
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:00
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:58
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 22:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -16.66%E -9.36%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:59
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -17.13%E -9.68%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-10 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -18.07%E -10.32%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 23:00
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -18.07%E -10.32%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 22:59
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 22:59
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -9.64%E -4.99%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-10 22:56
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 22:59
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-10 23:00
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.5%2026-07-10 23:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%3.0%2026-07-10 23:00