مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-07-10 23:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.82%2.14السعر العادل
EV -4.02%
الأفضلية -1.96%
Kelly -3.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.75%46.82%46.84%50.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.941.952.0557.14%51.67%51.28%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.45%4.26السعر العادل
EV +2.71%
الأفضلية +0.620%
Kelly +0.803%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.37%23.42%23.45%25.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.73%3.36السعر العادل
EV -0.402%
الأفضلية -0.120%
Kelly -0.171%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.80%29.76%29.71%30.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.123.103.3533.33%32.02%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -9.17%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.37%EV +2.71%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -8.43%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -14.32%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-10 23:00
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.12%EV -2.45%E -0.588%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 22:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 22:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 22:58
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%EV -16.19%E -9.05%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 23:00
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -7.24%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 22:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 22:59
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:00
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:58
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 22:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -16.66%E -9.36%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:59
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -17.13%E -9.68%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-10 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -18.07%E -10.32%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 23:00
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -18.07%E -10.32%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 22:59
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 22:59
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 22:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -9.64%E -4.99%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-10 22:56
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-10 22:59
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-10 23:00
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 23:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-10 23:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.5%2026-07-10 23:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%3.0%2026-07-10 23:00