L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sport Recife v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sport Recife (Local)
Prévision 46.82%2.14cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.75%46.82%46.84%50.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.941.952.0557.14%51.67%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.45%4.26cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.620%
Kelly +0.803%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 4.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.37%23.42%23.45%25.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.73%3.36cote équitable
EV -0.402%
Avantage -0.120%
Kelly -0.171%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.80%29.76%29.71%30.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.123.103.3533.33%32.02%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -9.17%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.37%EV +2.71%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -8.43%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.838%E +0.195%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -0.402%E -0.120%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -14.32%E -7.83%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.92%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.12%EV -2.45%E -0.588%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-10 22:58 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%EV -16.19%E -9.05%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -3.85%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -7.24%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:58 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.97%EV -16.66%E -9.36%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.89%EV -17.13%E -9.68%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -18.07%E -10.32%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -18.07%E -10.32%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -9.64%E -4.99%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-10 22:56 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.5% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34% | 3.0% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |