赔率学院

São Bernardo v Ponte Preta

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

最终结果: São Bernardo 3–0 Ponte Preta

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

São Bernardo (主队)

预测 46.36%2.16公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
43.54%46.41%46.27%49.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.832.022.012.1054.64%49.55%49.63%47.62%MIN均值中位数MAX

Ponte Preta (客队)

预测 21.85%4.58公平赔率
EV +0.487%
优势 +0.106%
Kelly +0.135%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.06%21.79%22.03%23.94%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.754.234.254.6026.67%23.64%23.53%21.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.80%3.14公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.02

博彩公司预测分布
30.60%31.80%31.71%33.98%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.652.842.843.0237.74%35.26%35.15%33.11%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +0.487%E +0.106%K +0.135%G +0.001%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.77%EV -9.06%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.13%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.04%EV -0.168%E -0.037%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 18:45
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.41%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -1.26%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.89%EV -12.24%E -4.44%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 18:55
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -15.16%E -8.29%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 18:40
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -10.02%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 18:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.27%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:56
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.75%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 18:46
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 18:55
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:52
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.49%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:50
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:56
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 18:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.05%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:50
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.78%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:56
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:56
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 18:50
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 18:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-03 18:36
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-05-03 18:54
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%1.2%2026-05-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-05-03 18:56
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81%3.1%2026-05-03 18:55