L’École des cotesFrançais
São Bernardo v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 46.36%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.54%46.41%46.27%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.022.012.1054.64%49.55%49.63%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.85%4.58cote équitable
EV +0.487%
Avantage +0.106%
Kelly +0.135%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.06%21.79%22.03%23.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.234.254.6026.67%23.64%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.80%3.14cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.60%31.80%31.71%33.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.843.0237.74%35.26%35.15%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +0.487%E +0.106%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.77%EV -9.06%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.13%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.04%EV -0.168%E -0.037%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.41%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -1.26%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.89%EV -12.24%E -4.44%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -15.16%E -8.29%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -10.02%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.27%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.75%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:52 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.49%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.05%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.78%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.08% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |