مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
São Bernardo v Ponte Preta
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
São Bernardo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 46.36%2.16السعر العادل
EV -2.65%
الأفضلية -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.54%46.41%46.27%49.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.022.012.1054.64%49.55%49.63%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Ponte Preta (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.85%4.58السعر العادل
EV +0.487%
الأفضلية +0.106%
Kelly +0.135%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.06%21.79%22.03%23.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.234.254.6026.67%23.64%23.53%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.80%3.14السعر العادل
EV -3.97%
الأفضلية -1.32%
Kelly -1.97%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.02
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.60%31.80%31.71%33.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.842.843.0237.74%35.26%35.15%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +0.487%E +0.106%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.77%EV -9.06%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.13%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.04%EV -0.168%E -0.037%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.41%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -1.26%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.89%EV -12.24%E -4.44%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -15.16%E -8.29%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -1.70%E -0.377%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -10.02%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.27%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -3.88%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.75%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -4.97%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.07%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:52 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.49%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.15%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.05%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.78%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -15.90%E -4.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.08% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |