Language:English
São Bernardo v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
São Bernardo (Local)
Prediction 51.33%1.95fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.76%51.34%51.41%54.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.781.791.8560.61%56.07%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 21.67%4.61fair odd
EV -0.325%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.090%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.45%21.62%21.68%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.204.6025.00%23.62%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.04%26.91%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.5331.25%29.46%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: São Bernardo (Local): 51.33%; Londrina (Visit): 21.67%; Draw: 27.00%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.325%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.67%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.54%EV -4.88%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.16%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.45%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.66%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.18%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 08:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -10.68%E -6.14%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.81%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -15.30%E -9.27%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |