StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

São Bernardo v Londrina

Matchstart: 2026-09-10 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: São Bernardo 1–2 Londrina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

São Bernardo (Hemma)

Prognos 51.33%1.95rättvist odds
EV -5.03%
Fördel -2.72%
Kelly -5.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.76%51.34%51.41%54.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.781.791.8560.61%56.07%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Borta)

Prognos 21.67%4.61rättvist odds
EV -0.325%
Fördel -0.071%
Kelly -0.090%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.45%21.62%21.68%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.234.204.6025.00%23.62%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.00%3.70rättvist odds
EV -4.70%
Fördel -1.33%
Kelly -1.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.24%27.04%26.91%28.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.393.403.5331.25%29.46%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: São Bernardo (Hemma): 51.33%; Londrina (Borta): 21.67%; Oavgjort: 27.00%. För Londrina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.61. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.60, med väntevärdet -0.325%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 10:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 10:04
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.67%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.54%EV -4.88%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 08:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 22:43
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.16%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.45%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.66%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.18%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 08:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 22:45
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 16:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 22:45
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:55
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 08:06
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 02:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 08:03
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -10.68%E -6.14%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 02:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.81%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 02:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 02:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -15.30%E -9.27%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 14:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-09-09 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%5.2%2026-09-09 12:10