Langue:Français
São Bernardo v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 51.33%1.95cote équitable
EV -5.03%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -5.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.76%51.34%51.41%54.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.791.8560.61%56.07%55.87%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.67%4.61cote équitable
EV -0.325%
Avantage -0.071%
Kelly -0.090%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.45%21.62%21.68%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.234.204.6025.00%23.62%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.00%3.70cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.04%26.91%28.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.5331.25%29.46%29.41%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : São Bernardo (Local) : 51.33% ; Londrina (Visiteur) : 21.67% ; Match nul : 27.00%. Pour Londrina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.60, pour une espérance de -0.325% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.67%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.54%EV -4.88%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.16%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.45%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.66%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.18%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 08:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -10.68%E -6.14%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.81%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -15.30%E -9.27%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |