Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

São Bernardo v Londrina

Inizio: 2026-09-10 22:30 UTC

Finale: São Bernardo 1–2 Londrina

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

São Bernardo (Casa)

Previsione 51.33%1.95quota equa
EV -5.03%
Vantaggio -2.72%
Kelly -5.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.76%51.34%51.41%54.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.781.791.8560.61%56.07%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Londrina (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.67%4.61quota equa
EV -0.325%
Vantaggio -0.071%
Kelly -0.090%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.45%21.62%21.68%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.234.204.6025.00%23.62%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.00%3.70quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.24%27.04%26.91%28.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.393.403.5331.25%29.46%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: São Bernardo (Casa): 51.33%; Londrina (Trasferta): 21.67%; Pareggio: 27.00%. Per Londrina (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.61. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.60, con un valore atteso del -0.325%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 10:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -5.55%E -3.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 10:04
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.67%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.54%EV -4.88%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 08:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 08:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 22:43
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.16%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.45%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.66%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.18%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 08:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 22:45
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 16:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 22:45
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:55
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -5.74%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 02:54
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 08:06
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.91%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 02:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 08:03
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.99%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -10.68%E -6.14%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 02:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.53%EV -11.71%E -6.81%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.16%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 02:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 02:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -15.30%E -9.27%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 14:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-09-09 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%5.2%2026-09-09 12:10