语言:简体中文
São Bernardo v Botafogo-SP
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
São Bernardo (主队)
预测 37.74%2.65公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -0.871%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.59
博彩公司预测分布
36.68%37.89%37.64%40.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.412.402.5944.44%41.43%41.67%38.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
Botafogo-SP (客队)
预测 30.45%3.28公平赔率
EV -4.09%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.90%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.17%30.36%30.57%31.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.873.033.003.1534.84%33.01%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.81%3.14公平赔率
EV -4.56%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
30.65%31.75%31.80%32.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.892.903.0036.36%34.62%34.48%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：São Bernardo (主队)：37.74%；Botafogo-SP (客队)：30.45%；平局：31.81%。 对于“São Bernardo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.65。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.59，期望值为-2.26%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.26%E -0.871%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -3.77%E -1.48%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.44%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -9.02%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -6.03%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.70%E -4.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.47%EV -7.92%E -3.24%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.09%EV -9.80%E -4.10%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.25%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.70%E -4.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -10.56%E -4.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.61%E -4.39%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -10.56%E -4.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.61%E -4.39%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.13%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -12.45%E -5.36%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.52%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.52%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -15.09%E -6.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |