StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

São Bernardo v Botafogo-SP

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 22:29 UTC

Endstand: São Bernardo 0–1 Botafogo-SP

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

São Bernardo (Heim)

Prognose 37.74%2.65faire Quote
EV -2.26%
Vorteil -0.871%
Kelly -1.42%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.68%37.89%37.64%40.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.412.402.5944.44%41.43%41.67%38.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Botafogo-SP (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.45%3.28faire Quote
EV -4.09%
Vorteil -1.30%
Kelly -1.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.17%30.36%30.57%31.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.873.033.003.1534.84%33.01%33.33%31.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.81%3.14faire Quote
EV -4.56%
Vorteil -1.52%
Kelly -2.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.65%31.75%31.80%32.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.892.903.0036.36%34.62%34.48%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: São Bernardo (Heim): 37.74%; Botafogo-SP (Auswärts): 30.45%; Unentschieden: 31.81%. Für São Bernardo (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.65. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.59, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.26%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.26%E -0.871%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -3.77%E -1.48%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 22:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.44%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -9.02%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 22:18
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 22:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 22:14
Bovada🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -6.03%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 22:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 22:04
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 22:19
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 19:34
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 19:34
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.70%E -4.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 22:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.47%EV -7.92%E -3.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:54
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:54
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 21:54
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 22:19
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.09%EV -9.80%E -4.10%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.25%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.70%E -4.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 22:00
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -10.56%E -4.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.61%E -4.39%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 22:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -10.56%E -4.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.61%E -4.39%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 22:15
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.13%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 21:54
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -12.45%E -5.36%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 21:54
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.52%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.52%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -15.09%E -6.71%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 22:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-14 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-14 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-14 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-14 22:20
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-08-14 22:25