Язык:Русский
São Bernardo v Botafogo-SP
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
São Bernardo (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.74%2.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.26%
Преимущество -0.871%
Kelly -1.42%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.59
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.68%37.89%37.64%40.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.412.402.5944.44%41.43%41.67%38.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Botafogo-SP (Гости)
Прогноз 30.45%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.09%
Преимущество -1.30%
Kelly -1.90%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.17%30.36%30.57%31.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.873.033.003.1534.84%33.01%33.33%31.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.81%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.56%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -2.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.65%31.75%31.80%32.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.892.903.0036.36%34.62%34.48%33.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: São Bernardo (Хозяева): 37.74%; Botafogo-SP (Гости): 30.45%; Ничья: 31.81%. Для исхода «São Bernardo (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.65. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.59, математическое ожидание — -2.26%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.26%E -0.871%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -3.77%E -1.48%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.44%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -9.02%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -6.03%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.54%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.70%E -4.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.47%EV -7.92%E -3.24%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.43%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.09%EV -9.80%E -4.10%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.25%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.70%E -4.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.31%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -10.56%E -4.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.61%E -4.39%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -10.56%E -4.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.61%E -4.39%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -11.31%E -4.81%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.13%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -12.45%E -5.36%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.65%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.52%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.95%E -6.12%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.52%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -15.09%E -6.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.61%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |