Language:English
São Bernardo v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
São Bernardo (Local)
Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%47.72%47.77%50.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.942.0155.56%51.71%51.55%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 23.69%4.22fair odd
EV -0.495%
Edge -0.118%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%23.60%23.67%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.904.2027.78%25.81%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.68%28.56%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.23%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.95%EV -0.732%E -0.175%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.22%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-16 22:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.42%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 21:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.64%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.84%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -0.495%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-07-17 21:05 |