L’École des cotesFrançais
São Bernardo v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 47.66%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -4.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.69%47.72%47.77%50.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.942.0155.56%51.71%51.55%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.495%
Avantage -0.118%
Kelly -0.155%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.52%23.60%23.67%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.873.904.2027.78%25.81%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.65%3.49cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.81%28.68%28.56%29.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.23%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.95%EV -0.732%E -0.175%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.22%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-16 22:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.42%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 21:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 07:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.64%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.84%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -0.495%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 14:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-07-17 21:05 |