A Escola das Odds

São Bernardo v Avai

Início: 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC

Final: São Bernardo 1–1 Avai

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

São Bernardo (Local)

Previsão 47.66%2.10odd justa
EV -4.21%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.69%47.72%47.77%50.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.931.942.0155.56%51.71%51.55%49.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avai (Visitante)

Previsão 23.69%4.22odd justa
EV -0.495%
Vantagem -0.118%
Kelly -0.155%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.52%23.60%23.67%25.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.873.904.2027.78%25.81%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.65%3.49odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.81%28.68%28.56%29.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.23%31.25%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.95%EV -0.732%E -0.175%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.22%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 21:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 22:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 21:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 21:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 21:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 21:29
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 07:20
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 21:29
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 21:29
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 21:24
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 21:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 21:29
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 21:49
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 17:04
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 17:04
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 07:20
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.42%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 21:54
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 17:04
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 21:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 07:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 21:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 21:24
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 07:20
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 21:34
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.64%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 21:49
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.84%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 21:50
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 21:49
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-14 22:04
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -0.495%E -0.118%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 14:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-07-17 21:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-07-17 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-07-17 21:05