语言:简体中文
Ponte Preta v Nautico PE
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ponte Preta (主队)
预测 23.42%4.27公平赔率
EV -0.228%
优势 -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.26
博彩公司预测分布
22.49%23.41%23.39%24.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.653.893.904.2627.40%25.72%25.64%23.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nautico PE (客队)
预测 48.90%2.05公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -5.47%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.94
博彩公司预测分布
47.58%48.97%48.78%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.881.881.9454.64%53.10%53.19%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.68%3.61公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -0.647%
Kelly -0.902%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.53
博彩公司预测分布
26.55%27.62%27.83%28.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.293.303.5332.79%30.40%30.30%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ponte Preta (主队)：23.42%；Nautico PE (客队)：48.90%；平局：27.68%。 对于“Ponte Preta (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.27。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.26，期望值为-0.228%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.54%EV -0.228%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.27%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -2.28%E -0.647%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:27 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.00%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.00%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.00%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.61%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -15.57%E -5.11%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.61%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -15.57%E -5.11%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.51%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |