Langue:Français
Ponte Preta v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV -0.228%
Avantage -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%23.41%23.39%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.893.904.2627.40%25.72%25.64%23.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.90%2.05cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -5.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.58%48.97%48.78%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.881.881.9454.64%53.10%53.19%51.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.68%3.61cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -0.902%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.55%27.62%27.83%28.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.293.303.5332.79%30.40%30.30%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ponte Preta (Local) : 23.42% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 48.90% ; Match nul : 27.68%. Pour Ponte Preta (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.27. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.26, pour une espérance de -0.228% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.54%EV -0.228%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.27%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -2.28%E -0.647%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 22:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 22:27 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.00%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.00%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 22:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.00%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.19%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.61%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -15.57%E -5.11%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.61%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -15.57%E -5.11%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.51%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -12.80%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |