Language:English
Ponte Preta v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%39.60%39.38%42.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.302.302.4547.17%43.57%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%29.27%29.58%30.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.11%3.21fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.91%31.13%31.04%32.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.993.003.1538.02%33.44%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ponte Preta (Local): 39.36%; Londrina (Visit): 29.53%; Draw: 31.11%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -14.20%E -6.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.35%E +0.957%K +1.34%G +0.045% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -9.87%E -4.31%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV +2.46%E +0.710%K +0.997%G +0.025% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -14.59%E -6.72%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -14.99%E -6.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-18 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.23%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -10.26%E -4.50%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.87%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:53 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.37%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.44%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -14.96%E -5.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -18.17%E -6.91%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |