赔率学院

Ponte Preta v Londrina

开赛时间： 2026-05-18 22:00 UTC

最终结果： Ponte Preta 1–4 Londrina

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Ponte Preta (主队)

预测 39.36%2.54公平赔率
EV -3.57%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
37.93%39.60%39.38%42.99%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.122.302.302.4547.17%43.57%43.48%40.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

Londrina (客队)

预测 29.53%3.39公平赔率
EV +3.35%
优势 +0.957%
Kelly +1.34%
增长率 +0.045%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.78%29.27%29.58%30.60%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.11%3.21公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.633%
Kelly -0.927%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.91%31.13%31.04%32.73%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.632.993.003.1538.02%33.44%33.33%31.75%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -14.20%E -6.51%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.35%E +0.957%K +1.34%G +0.045%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 21:30
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -9.87%E -4.31%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV +2.46%E +0.710%K +0.997%G +0.025%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 21:50
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 21:55
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -14.59%E -6.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -14.99%E -6.94%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 21:55
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-18 21:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 21:35
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.23%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 21:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -10.26%E -4.50%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 21:45
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 21:55
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 21:55
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 21:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 21:55
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 21:50
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 21:55
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 21:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 21:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 21:50
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.87%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 21:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 21:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 21:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 21:50
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 21:54
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 21:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 21:53
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 21:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 21:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 21:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-18 21:45
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 21:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.37%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-18 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.44%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -14.96%E -5.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -18.17%E -6.91%K -11.15%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-18 21:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%0.5%2026-05-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-05-18 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-05-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-05-18 21:50
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-05-18 21:50