L’École des cotesFrançais
Ponte Preta v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 39.36%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.93%39.60%39.38%42.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.302.302.4547.17%43.57%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.53%3.39cote équitable
EV +3.35%
Avantage +0.957%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%29.27%29.58%30.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.11%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.633%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.91%31.13%31.04%32.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.993.003.1538.02%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -14.20%E -6.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.35%E +0.957%K +1.34%G +0.045% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -9.87%E -4.31%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV +2.46%E +0.710%K +0.997%G +0.025% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -14.59%E -6.72%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -14.99%E -6.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-18 21:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.23%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -10.26%E -4.50%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 21:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.87%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Bovada | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:53 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.37%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.44%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -14.96%E -5.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -18.17%E -6.91%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |