مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Ponte Preta v Londrina
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ponte Preta (المضيف)
التنبؤ 39.36%2.54السعر العادل
EV -3.57%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -2.46%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.93%39.60%39.38%42.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.302.302.4547.17%43.57%43.48%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Londrina (الضيف)
التنبؤ 29.53%3.39السعر العادل
EV +3.35%
الأفضلية +0.957%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.045%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.78%29.27%29.58%30.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.11%3.21السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.633%
Kelly -0.927%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.91%31.13%31.04%32.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.993.003.1538.02%33.44%33.33%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -14.20%E -6.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.35%E +0.957%K +1.34%G +0.045% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -9.87%E -4.31%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV +2.46%E +0.710%K +0.997%G +0.025% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -12.23%E -5.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.397%E +0.117%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -1.99%E -0.633%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -14.59%E -6.72%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.08%E -0.322%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -14.99%E -6.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -15.38%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -2.56%E -0.775%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-18 21:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.23%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -10.26%E -4.50%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.56%E -7.81%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.15%E -3.13%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 21:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.87%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -8.53%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.33%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Bovada | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -5.93%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.22%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:53 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.54%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.51%E -3.20%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.48%E -4.12%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.37%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.44%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -14.96%E -5.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -18.17%E -6.91%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-18 21:45 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-05-18 21:50 |