Школа коэффициентов

Ponte Preta v Goiás

Начало: 2026-07-18 19:03 UTC

Итог: Ponte Preta 1–2 Goiás

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ponte Preta (Хозяева)

Прогноз 16.39%6.10справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.60%
Преимущество +0.258%
Kelly +0.308%
Рост +0.005%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.59%16.36%16.33%18.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.505.506.2020.00%18.17%18.18%16.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Goiás (Гости)

Прогноз 57.68%1.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.25%
Преимущество -2.56%
Kelly -6.44%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.66

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.27%57.76%57.77%60.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.79%62.50%60.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.93%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.76%
Преимущество -0.735%
Kelly -1.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.12%25.88%25.90%27.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.553.503.7530.30%28.15%28.57%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV +1.60%E +0.258%K +0.308%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -13.48%E -8.99%K -26.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 18:25
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:00
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:00
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 19:00
SportsBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.70%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 18:25
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:25
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.95%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.28%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 18:59
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 19:00
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:25
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:25
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:59
betano_uk5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:54
Pinnacle5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.72%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 18:50
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -8.23%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.05%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 19:00
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:59
Betsson5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:59
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:59
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:59
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:59
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 18:25
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 18:45
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:25
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 18:53
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 19:00
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -14.78%E -2.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 18:15
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 19:00
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 19:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 18:55
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 18:20
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 19:00
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 19:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-18 19:00
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-07-18 19:00