L’École des cotesFrançais
Ponte Preta v Goiás
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 16.39%6.10cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.308%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 6.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.59%16.36%16.33%18.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.505.506.2020.00%18.17%18.18%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Goiás (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.68%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -2.56%
Kelly -6.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%57.76%57.77%60.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.79%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.735%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%25.88%25.90%27.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.503.7530.30%28.15%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV +1.60%E +0.258%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -13.48%E -8.99%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.70%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.95%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.28%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Betway | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| betano_uk | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.72%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -8.23%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.05%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Betsson | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Casumo | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -14.78%E -2.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |