La scuola delle quote

Ponte Preta v Goiás

Inizio: 2026-07-18 19:03 UTC

Finale: Ponte Preta 1–2 Goiás

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ponte Preta (Casa)

Previsione 16.39%6.10quota equa
EV +1.60%
Vantaggio +0.258%
Kelly +0.308%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.59%16.36%16.33%18.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.505.506.2020.00%18.17%18.18%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Goiás (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.68%1.73quota equa
EV -4.25%
Vantaggio -2.56%
Kelly -6.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.27%57.76%57.77%60.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.79%62.50%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.93%3.86quota equa
EV -2.76%
Vantaggio -0.735%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.12%25.88%25.90%27.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.553.503.7530.30%28.15%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV +1.60%E +0.258%K +0.308%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -13.48%E -8.99%K -26.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 18:25
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:00
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:00
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 19:00
SportsBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.70%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 18:25
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:25
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.95%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.28%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 18:59
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 19:00
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:25
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:25
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:59
betano_uk5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:54
Pinnacle5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.72%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 18:50
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -8.23%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.05%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 19:00
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:59
Betsson5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:59
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:59
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:59
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:59
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 18:25
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 18:45
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:25
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 19:00
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 18:53
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 19:00
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 18:30
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -14.78%E -2.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 18:15
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 19:00
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 19:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 18:55
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 18:20
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 19:00
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-07-18 19:00
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-18 19:00
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-07-18 19:00