La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ponte Preta v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 16.39%6.10momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.258%
Kelly +0.308%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.59%16.36%16.33%18.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.505.506.2020.00%18.17%18.18%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 57.68%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -2.56%
Kelly -6.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%57.76%57.77%60.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.79%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.735%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.12%25.88%25.90%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.503.7530.30%28.15%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV +1.60%E +0.258%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -13.48%E -8.99%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -1.67%E -0.279%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.70%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -3.31%E -0.562%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.95%E -0.854%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.28%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Betway | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| betano_uk | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -5.77%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -6.10%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.72%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -2.76%E -0.735%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -8.23%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.05%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Betsson | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.59%E -6.84%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -9.87%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Casumo | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.05%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -11.51%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.97%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -14.78%E -2.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -16.42%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.06%E -3.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.17%E -7.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 19:00 |