Language:English
Ponte Preta v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prediction 26.96%3.71fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.24%27.14%26.99%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.283.303.6234.48%30.46%30.30%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 39.30%2.54fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.20%39.21%39.30%40.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.27%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.74%2.96fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.36%33.65%33.71%35.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.712.8841.67%36.57%36.97%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ponte Preta (Local): 26.96%; Cuiabá (Visit): 39.30%; Draw: 33.74%. For Ponte Preta (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.61%EV -2.41%E -0.666%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.99%EV -2.94%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 20:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.94%EV -6.87%E -2.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.23%E -3.43%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -10.01%E -4.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.76%EV -19.01%E -7.92%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 11:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-09 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 11:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -17.78%E -5.83%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -4.51%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -19.13%E -6.38%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.44% | 0.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 0.2% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |