مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ponte Preta v Cuiabá

البداية: 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ponte Preta 1–2 Cuiabá

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ponte Preta (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.96%3.71السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -0.666%
Kelly -0.921%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.24%27.14%26.99%30.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.283.303.6234.48%30.46%30.30%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cuiabá (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.30%2.54السعر العادل
EV -2.54%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.20%39.21%39.30%40.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.27%42.02%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 33.74%2.96السعر العادل
EV -2.82%
الأفضلية -0.978%
Kelly -1.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.36%33.65%33.71%35.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.732.712.8841.67%36.57%36.97%34.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.62I 27.62%NM 26.61%EV -2.41%E -0.666%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.99%EV -2.94%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 21:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 20:28
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 20:29
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 21:19
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 05:49
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 20:29
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 20:29
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 20:29
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-09 20:29
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.94%EV -6.87%E -2.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.23%E -3.43%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-09 21:48
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -10.01%E -4.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 20:29
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 21:50
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 21:49
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 21:50
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 21:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-09 20:19
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-09 20:18
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-09 20:19
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-09 20:19
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-09 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.76%EV -19.01%E -7.92%K -13.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-06-09 20:29
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 11:38
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-09 20:09
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-09 21:49
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-09 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 11:38
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 21:39
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 21:39
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 21:39
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:20
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:19
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:19
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:20
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:19
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:19
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -17.78%E -5.83%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -4.51%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-09 21:09
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -19.13%E -6.38%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-09 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-09 21:19
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-09 21:20
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-09 21:20
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-09 21:19
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-09 21:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.95%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.44%0.1%2026-06-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-06-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%0.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%0.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%0.8%2026-06-09 21:39