La escuela de los momiosPonte Preta v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 26.96%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -0.921%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.24%27.14%26.99%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.283.303.6234.48%30.46%30.30%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 39.30%2.54momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.20%39.21%39.30%40.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.27%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.74%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.36%33.65%33.71%35.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.732.712.8841.67%36.57%36.97%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.61%EV -2.41%E -0.666%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.99%EV -2.94%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 20:28 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.94%EV -6.87%E -2.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.23%E -3.43%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -10.01%E -4.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:18 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.76%EV -19.01%E -7.92%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 11:38 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-09 20:09 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 11:38 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -17.78%E -5.83%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -4.51%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -19.13%E -6.38%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.44% | 0.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 0.2% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |