L’École des cotesPonte Preta v Cuiabá
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.24%27.14%26.99%30.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.283.303.6234.48%30.46%30.30%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cuiabá (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.30%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.20%39.21%39.30%40.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.27%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.74%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.36%33.65%33.71%35.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.712.8841.67%36.57%36.97%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.61%EV -2.41%E -0.666%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.99%EV -2.94%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 20:28 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.94%EV -6.87%E -2.90%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.23%E -3.43%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -10.01%E -4.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.55%E -3.16%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:18 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.58%E -5.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-09 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -13.55%E -6.16%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.76%EV -19.01%E -7.92%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 11:38 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-09 20:09 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 11:38 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -4.18%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -2.82%E -0.978%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -17.78%E -5.83%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -4.51%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -19.13%E -6.38%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -5.69%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -20.47%E -6.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -21.82%E -7.52%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -7.65%E -3.26%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-09 21:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.95% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.44% | 0.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 0.2% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |