Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 5.23
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 50.49%; Cuiabá (Visit): 20.12%; Draw: 29.39%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.36%EV +5.24%E +1.00%K +1.24%G +0.065% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.29%EV -6.83%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.65%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -0.398%E -0.080%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.16%E -7.65%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -3.86%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -9.47%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.91%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 19:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:52 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.76%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.65%E -6.66%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.63%E -5.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -17.70%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.38% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |