La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Operario PR v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 50.49%1.98momio equitativo
EV -5.59%
Ventaja -2.99%
Kelly -6.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.28%50.52%50.55%52.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.831.8758.14%54.82%54.64%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 20.12%4.97momio equitativo
EV +5.24%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.36%19.99%20.15%21.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.514.505.2323.81%22.17%22.22%19.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.39%3.40momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.911%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%29.49%29.30%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.95%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.36%EV +5.24%E +1.00%K +1.24%G +0.065% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.29%EV -6.83%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.65%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -0.398%E -0.080%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.16%E -7.65%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -3.86%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -9.47%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 19:30 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.91%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 19:28 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:52 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.76%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.65%E -6.66%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.63%E -5.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -17.70%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.38% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |