A Escola das Odds

Operario PR v Cuiabá

Início: 2026-04-12 21:00 UTC

Final: Operario PR 0–0 Cuiabá

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Previsão 50.49%1.98odd justa
EV -5.59%
Vantagem -2.99%
Kelly -6.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.28%50.52%50.55%52.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.821.831.8758.14%54.82%54.64%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cuiabá (Visitante)

Previsão 20.12%4.97odd justa
EV +5.24%
Vantagem +1.00%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.065%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.36%19.99%20.15%21.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.514.505.2323.81%22.17%22.22%19.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.39%3.40odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -0.911%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.29%29.49%29.30%31.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.95%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.36%EV +5.24%E +1.00%K +1.24%G +0.065%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.29%EV -6.83%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 20:55
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.65%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -0.398%E -0.080%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 20:54
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.16%E -7.65%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -3.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -9.47%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 20:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 19:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.91%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:28
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:54
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:52
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:54
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:54
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 19:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.76%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 20:55
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.65%E -6.66%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:54
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 20:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:54
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.63%E -5.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:54
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -17.70%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.5%2026-04-12 20:55