L’École des cotes

Operario PR v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 21:00 UTC

Score final : Operario PR 0–0 Cuiabá

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Prévision 50.49%1.98cote équitable
EV -5.59%
Avantage -2.99%
Kelly -6.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.28%50.52%50.55%52.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.821.831.8758.14%54.82%54.64%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.12%4.97cote équitable
EV +5.24%
Avantage +1.00%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 5.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.36%19.99%20.15%21.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.514.505.2323.81%22.17%22.22%19.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.39%3.40cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.911%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.29%29.49%29.30%31.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.95%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.36%EV +5.24%E +1.00%K +1.24%G +0.065%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.29%EV -6.83%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 20:55
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.65%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -0.398%E -0.080%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 20:54
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.16%E -7.65%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.40%E -0.287%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -3.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -9.47%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 20:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -6.43%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 19:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.91%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:28
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:54
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:52
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:54
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:54
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.00%E -0.911%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 20:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 20:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 19:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.76%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 20:55
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.65%E -6.66%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:54
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 20:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 20:54
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -9.63%E -5.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.88%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.64%E -6.01%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.47%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 20:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:54
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -17.70%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.5%2026-04-12 20:55