Language:English
Operario PR v América Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 51.31%1.95fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.28%51.37%51.40%54.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.801.801.8559.88%55.69%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 20.47%4.89fair odd
EV +0.279%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.072%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.45%20.49%20.39%22.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.424.504.9025.00%22.62%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.14%28.21%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 51.31%; América Mineiro (Visit): 20.47%; Draw: 28.23%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.279%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -14.31%E -8.57%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV +0.279%E +0.057%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -1.56%E -0.325%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.79%E -0.587%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.45%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -7.98%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-27 13:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.16%E -4.56%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-27 13:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 13:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-27 13:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.70%E -5.51%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.71%E -6.50%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -18.14%E -4.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-06-27 14:00 |