L’École des cotes

Operario PR v América Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 14:02 UTC

Score final : Operario PR 1–0 América Mineiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Prévision 51.31%1.95cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.28%51.37%51.40%54.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.801.801.8559.88%55.69%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

América Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.47%4.89cote équitable
EV +0.279%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.072%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.45%20.49%20.39%22.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.424.504.9025.00%22.62%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.23%3.54cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.14%28.21%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -14.31%E -8.57%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV +0.279%E +0.057%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -1.56%E -0.325%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 13:59
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.79%E -0.587%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 13:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:59
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.45%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -7.98%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 13:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 13:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 13:59
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 13:58
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 14:00
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.16%E -4.56%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 13:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 14:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 13:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-27 13:58
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 13:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 13:48
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 13:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.70%E -5.51%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-27 13:59
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.71%E -6.50%K -9.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-27 14:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 13:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 13:59
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 14:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -18.14%E -4.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-06-27 14:00