A Escola das Odds

Operario PR v América Mineiro

Início: 2026-06-27 14:02 UTC

Final: Operario PR 1–0 América Mineiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Previsão 51.31%1.95odd justa
EV -5.08%
Vantagem -2.74%
Kelly -5.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.28%51.37%51.40%54.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.801.801.8559.88%55.69%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

América Mineiro (Visitante)

Previsão 20.47%4.89odd justa
EV +0.279%
Vantagem +0.057%
Kelly +0.072%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.45%20.49%20.39%22.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.424.504.9025.00%22.62%22.22%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.23%3.54odd justa
EV -4.03%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%28.14%28.21%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -14.31%E -8.57%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV +0.279%E +0.057%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -1.56%E -0.325%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 13:59
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.79%E -0.587%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 13:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:59
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.45%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -7.98%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 13:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 13:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 13:59
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 13:58
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 14:00
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.16%E -4.56%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 13:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 14:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 13:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-27 13:58
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 13:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 13:48
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 13:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.70%E -5.51%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-27 13:59
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.71%E -6.50%K -9.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-27 14:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 13:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 13:59
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 14:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -18.14%E -4.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-06-27 14:00