La escuela de los momios

Operario PR v América Mineiro

Inicio: 2026-06-27 14:02 UTC

Final: Operario PR 1–0 América Mineiro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Predicción 51.31%1.95momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -5.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.28%51.37%51.40%54.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.801.801.8559.88%55.69%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

América Mineiro (Visitante)

Predicción 20.47%4.89momio equitativo
EV +0.279%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.072%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.45%20.49%20.39%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.424.504.9025.00%22.62%22.22%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.23%3.54momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.14%28.21%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -14.31%E -8.57%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV +0.279%E +0.057%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -1.56%E -0.325%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 13:59
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.77%E -0.368%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -2.79%E -0.587%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 13:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:59
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.45%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -7.98%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 13:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 13:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 13:59
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 13:58
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 14:00
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -8.16%E -4.56%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 13:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 13:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 14:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 13:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-27 13:58
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 13:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 13:48
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 13:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 13:59
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -9.70%E -5.51%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.21%E -5.83%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-27 13:59
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.23%E -6.49%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.71%E -6.50%K -9.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-27 14:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 13:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 13:59
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -11.75%E -6.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -16.09%E -3.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-27 14:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -18.14%E -4.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-27 14:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-06-27 14:00