Language:English
Londrina v São Bernardo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 38.70%2.58fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.62%38.71%40.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.352.5044.84%42.22%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
São Bernardo (Visit)
Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV +0.476%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.96%28.12%27.83%30.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.39%2.99fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.62%33.27%33.46%36.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.38%36.23%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 38.70%; São Bernardo (Visit): 27.91%; Draw: 33.39%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.476%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.44%EV -2.04%E -0.580%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -5.49%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.18%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -14.85%E -5.82%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -8.29%E -3.50%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -9.50%E -3.51%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -6.36%E -2.63%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.16%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.51%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |