La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Londrina v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 38.70%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.60%38.62%38.71%40.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.372.352.5044.84%42.22%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 27.91%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.476%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%28.12%27.83%30.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.39%2.99momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.62%33.27%33.46%36.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.38%36.23%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.44%EV -2.04%E -0.580%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -5.49%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.18%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -14.85%E -5.82%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -8.29%E -3.50%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -9.50%E -3.51%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Bovada | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -6.36%E -2.63%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.16%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.51%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |