L’École des cotesFrançais
Londrina v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Londrina (Local)
Prévision 38.70%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.60%38.62%38.71%40.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.372.352.5044.84%42.22%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.91%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.476%
Avantage +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%28.12%27.83%30.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.39%2.99cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.62%33.27%33.46%36.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.38%36.23%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.44%EV -2.04%E -0.580%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -5.49%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.18%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -14.85%E -5.82%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -8.29%E -3.50%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -9.50%E -3.51%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Bovada | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -6.36%E -2.63%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.16%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.51%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-12 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |