A Escola das Odds

Londrina v São Bernardo

Início: 2026-05-12 22:30 UTC

Final: Londrina 1–3 São Bernardo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 38.70%2.58odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.60%38.62%38.71%40.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.232.372.352.5044.84%42.22%42.55%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

São Bernardo (Visitante)

Previsão 27.91%3.58odd justa
EV +0.476%
Vantagem +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.96%28.12%27.83%30.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.39%2.99odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.62%33.27%33.46%36.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.38%36.23%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -9.84%E -4.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:25
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.44%EV -2.04%E -0.580%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -5.49%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 22:15
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.18%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 22:25
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -14.85%E -5.82%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 22:14
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -11.77%E -5.16%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 22:25
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 22:25
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 22:25
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.17%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 22:15
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 22:25
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 22:25
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 22:25
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 22:10
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -8.29%E -3.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 22:25
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 22:15
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 22:15
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 22:15
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -9.50%E -3.51%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 22:25
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -6.36%E -2.63%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 22:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-12 22:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.16%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 22:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 22:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 22:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 22:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 22:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -3.26%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 22:15
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.51%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-12 22:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.50%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 22:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.84%E -3.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.83%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-12 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-12 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-05-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-05-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-05-12 22:10
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-05-12 22:15
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.54%1.4%2026-05-12 22:20