Language:English
Londrina v Grêmio Novorizontino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.845%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.12%26.13%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7430.30%28.60%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit)
Prediction 44.84%2.23fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%44.92%44.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.042.042.1651.81%49.13%49.02%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%28.96%29.13%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.153.3433.33%31.58%31.75%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 26.12%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit): 44.84%; Draw: 29.04%. For Londrina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.74, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.31%E -0.619%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.91%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.70%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -3.01%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.18%E -3.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -12.11%E -6.18%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-26 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.56%E -6.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 21:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |