L’École des cotes

Londrina v Grêmio Novorizontino

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Londrina (Local)

Prévision 25.62%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.493%
Kelly -0.667%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%25.60%25.72%27.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.533.553.8330.77%28.31%28.17%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.83%2.18cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.63%45.81%45.73%47.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.012.032.0951.81%49.66%49.26%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.55%3.50cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.64%28.59%28.55%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.15%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.83I 26.11%NM 24.95%EV -1.89%E -0.493%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.73%EV -4.21%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.66%E -0.699%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:40
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.59%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:10
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.59%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:10
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.59%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:10
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 24.96%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -9.71%E -4.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 16:24
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.48%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:20
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 01:59
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 21:35
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -6.96%E -3.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:40
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:20
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.96%E -3.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:20
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:40
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 08:20
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 08:20
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.25%E -4.67%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:04
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:04
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:59
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 08:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 08:20
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:35
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:35
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:34
betano_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.97%EV -10.92%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:43
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.97%EV -10.92%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:38
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 14:00
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 04:05
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 08:19
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -9.71%E -4.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -10.17%E -5.19%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 14:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 16:20
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -14.18%E -4.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 14:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.46%E -4.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 14:05
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -15.46%E -4.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -15.46%E -4.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 14:00
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-07-26 03:55
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-26 04:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-26 04:09