Langue:Français
Londrina v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Londrina (Local)
Prévision 26.12%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -0.845%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.06%26.12%26.13%27.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.7430.30%28.60%28.57%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.84%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.81%44.92%44.74%46.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.042.042.1651.81%49.13%49.02%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.04%3.44cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -0.902%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%28.96%29.13%30.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.153.3433.33%31.58%31.75%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Londrina (Local) : 26.12% ; Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur) : 44.84% ; Match nul : 29.04%. Pour Londrina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.74, pour une espérance de -2.31% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.31%E -0.619%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.91%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.70%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -3.01%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.18%E -3.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -12.11%E -6.18%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-26 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.56%E -6.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 21:26 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |