Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Londrina v Grêmio Novorizontino

Inizio: 2026-07-26 21:30 UTC

Finale: Londrina 1–4 Grêmio Novorizontino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Londrina (Casa)

Previsione 26.12%3.83quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -0.619%
Kelly -0.845%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.06%26.12%26.13%27.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.503.503.7430.30%28.60%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.84%2.23quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.81%44.92%44.74%46.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.042.042.1651.81%49.13%49.02%46.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.04%3.44quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -0.902%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.99%28.96%29.13%30.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.173.153.3433.33%31.58%31.75%29.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Londrina (Casa): 26.12%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta): 44.84%; Pareggio: 29.04%. Per Londrina (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.83. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.74, con un valore atteso del -2.31%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.31%E -0.619%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.91%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 20:45
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 21:10
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 21:10
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 11:45
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:20
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:20
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:20
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 21:25
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 21:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 08:20
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 20:34
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 20:45
1xBet🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.70%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -3.01%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 08:20
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:34
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:34
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 21:10
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 21:15
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 20:30
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 20:30
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 20:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.18%E -3.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 20:30
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -12.11%E -6.18%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 21:20
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 09:30
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 21:00
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.56%E -6.44%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 21:20
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 21:25
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 20:35
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 20:39
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 09:30
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 09:30
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-26 21:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-26 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-26 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-07-26 21:20
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-07-26 21:20
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-07-26 21:25