La escuela de los momios

Londrina v Grêmio Novorizontino

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Predicción 25.62%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.493%
Kelly -0.667%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.60%25.72%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.533.553.8330.77%28.31%28.17%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)

Predicción 45.83%2.18momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.63%45.81%45.73%47.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.012.032.0951.81%49.66%49.26%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.64%28.59%28.55%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.203.3532.26%31.15%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.83I 26.11%NM 24.95%EV -1.89%E -0.493%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.73%EV -4.21%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.32%EV -6.92%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.66%E -0.699%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:40
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.59%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:10
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.59%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:10
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.59%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:10
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 24.96%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -9.71%E -4.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 16:24
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.48%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:20
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 01:59
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 21:35
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -6.96%E -3.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:40
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:20
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.96%E -3.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.35%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 08:20
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:40
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 08:20
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 08:20
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.25%E -4.67%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:04
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.78%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:04
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:59
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.06%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.50%E -3.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 14:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 08:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 08:20
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:35
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:35
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:34
betano_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.97%EV -10.92%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:43
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.34%E -2.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.97%EV -10.92%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:38
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 14:00
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 04:05
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 08:19
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -9.71%E -4.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -10.17%E -5.19%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 14:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 16:20
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -14.18%E -4.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 14:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.46%E -4.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 14:05
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -15.46%E -4.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -15.46%E -4.69%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 14:00
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 14:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-07-26 03:55
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-26 04:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-26 04:09