Idioma:Español
Londrina v Grêmio Novorizontino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.619%
Kelly -0.845%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.06%26.12%26.13%27.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.7430.30%28.60%28.57%26.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Predicción 44.84%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.81%44.92%44.74%46.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.042.042.1651.81%49.13%49.02%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.04%3.44momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.99%28.96%29.13%30.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.173.153.3433.33%31.58%31.75%29.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Londrina (Local): 26.12%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante): 44.84%; Empate: 29.04%. Para Londrina (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.74, con un valor esperado de -2.31%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.31%E -0.619%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.91%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -4.93%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.70%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -3.01%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -6.73%E -3.23%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.18%E -3.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -12.11%E -6.18%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-26 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -12.56%E -6.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -13.45%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-26 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 21:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |